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Random multiplicative processes: an elementary tutorial


Author(s) : S. Redner, 
Publisher : N/A
Publication Date : 1990
ISSN : N/A
Abstract : An elementary discussion of the statistical properties of the product of N independent random variables is given. Our motivation is to emphasize the essential dierences between the asymptotic N! 1 behavior of a random product and the asymptotic behavior of a sum of random variables { a random additive process. For this latter process, it is widely appreciated that the asymptotic behavior of the sum and its distribution is provided by the central limit theorem. However, no such universal principle exists for a random multiplicative process. In this case, the ratio between the average value of the product, hP i, and the most probable value, Pmp, diverges exponentially in N as N!1. Within a continuum approximation, the classical log-normal form is often invoked to describe the distribution of the product. We show, however, that the log-normal provides a poor approximation for the asymptotic behavior of the average value, and also for the higher moments of the product. A procedure for computing the correct leading asymptotic behavior of the moments is outlined. The implications of these results for simulations of random multiplicative processes are also discussed. For a such a simulation, the numerically observed \average " value of the product is of the order of Pmp, and it is only when the simulation is large enough to sample a nite fraction of all the states in the system that a monotonic crossover to the true average value hP i occurs. We provide an idealized, but quantitative account for this crossover.,